Current Tribe Standings

Can be found here.

Ryan Carter & Caitlin Coles

Facebook World Domination

Exponential Regression

equation: y = ab^x

y = 1.2*1.1^x

a: initial amount of people on facebook
b: a ten percent increase in the amount of people on facebook per month
x: amount of months





Number of Users This Month: 588.4 million

y=(1.2)(1.1)^65





Number of Users 6 Months From Now: 1.04247 billion

y=(1.2)(1.1)^71

When the Whole World Will Be on Facebook:


According to www.google.com/publicdata the world population is 6,692,030,277. When plugged into the equation...

6,692,030,277 = (1.2)(1.1^x)

We divided both sides by 1.2 to get...

557669189 = 1.1^x

Then we took the log of both sides and divided the log of 557,669,188 by the log of 1.1...

log(557,669,189)/log(1.1) = 211

It will take 211 months from the start of Facebook for the whole word to be members.

Will the Ball Hit the CanQuadratic Regression



equation: y = ax^2+bx+c


a = represents the slope of the arc
b =
c = maximum height of the tennis ball

equation 1: y = -.001x^2-.1x+26.1

(no picture because of technical difficulties)


No, it will not land in the can placed at 60 meters, but before it. The ball will land at 50.26 meters because that is when the parabola crosses the Y-axis.

equation 2: y = -.007x^2+.06x+36.96

No, it will not land in the can which is placed at 60 meters. It will land at 84.58 meters according to where the parabola crosses the Y-axis (or hits the ground).

equation 3: y = -.01x^2+.22x+77.70

No, this one will not land in the can placed at 60 meters. It will hit the ground at 76.17 meters because that is where the parabola crosses the Y-axis.




Although, according to none of our data the ball will land in the can due to mathmatical errors, we believe equation 1 will probably land in the can if calculated correctly due to it being the closest to 60 meters.

Notes Day 6: Bernoulli Trials

pdf can be downloaded from here.

Homework Probability Day 6

You can download the word document, or here are the questions:

Day 6 homework:


1. In the instant lottery, 20% of the tickets purchased are winning tickets. If Joe purchases 8 lottery tickets, what is the probability that 2 of his tickets are winning tickets (4 decimal places)?

2. Leghorn chickens are raised for lying eggs. 0.5 is the probability of a female chick hatching. Assuming independence, find the probability that there are exactly 6 females out of 10 newly hatched chicks (4 decimal places).

3. Suppose that we are in those rare times when 65% of the American public approve of the way the President of The United States is handling his job. Find the probability that 6 out of 8 Americans do not approve of the President (4 decimal places).

4. At a certain intersection, the light for eastbound traffic is red for 15 seconds, yellow for 5 seconds, and green for 30 seconds. Find, to the nearest tenth, the probability that out of the next eight eastbound cars that arrive randomly at the light, exactly three will be stopped by a red light (4 decimal places).

5. The Coolidge family's favorite television channels are 3, 6, 7, 10, 11, and 13. If the Coolidge family selects a favorite channel at random to view each night, what is the probability that they choose exactly three even-numbered channels in five nights? Express your answer as a fraction or as a decimal rounded to four decimal places.

6. During a recent survey, students at Franconia College were asked if they drink coffee in the morning. The results showed that two-thirds of the students drink coffee in the morning and the remainder do not. What is the probability that of six students selected at random, exactly two of them drink coffee in the morning? Express your answer as a fraction or as a decimal rounded to four decimal places.

Colin and Catherine

This Is OUR SCATTER plot. we used exponential regression!!!!!!

y=.56*1.1^x

1.1 is multiplied by the number in the previous month to get the next months number of people

.56 would be the number of people (in millions) starting

x=number of months passed

and y=number of FACEBOOK users


Right now there are 644.68 million users! starting in February 2004, you can plug in 75 for x (because 75 is the number of months since February 2004

in six more months there will be 1.124 BILLION users!

Everyone will have a facebook in 1yr, 6month and 22 days!

Harry and Matt's Facebook World Domination

Facebook World Domination:

Table:

Amount of Users (Millions) VS. Months Since Facebook's Start

Y-Variable X-Variable

1	0
5.5	12
12	24
20	28
50	34
100	44
150	49
175	50
200	51
250	52
300	55
350	57

Scatter Plot of Data From Above:

Regression Equation (Picture Below): Y=1.252(1.1051^X)

This equation shows the predicted graph of the users in the world with Facebook accounts.

In the Equation:

Y= The number of people in the world with a Facebook.

X= The number of months since the company's start.

A= The Initial Amount of Facebook Members at the start.

B=Percent of growth per month, with a growth of 10.51% per month.

(Graph of Scatter Plot and Regression Line Below)

Follow Up Questions:

1. Based on my model, the amount of users on Facebook during this month, would be 556 Million People.

1.252(1.1051^61) --> 1.252(444.115)= 556 (Million)

For X I Used 61, as it has been 61 months since December 2004.

2. Six months from now, will be November 2010, and 67 (61+6) months since Facebook's start.

1.252(1.1051^67) --> 1.252(808.9203) = 1,012,000000 People, or around 1 Billion People will have Facebook pages.

3. According to the UN, the World's population is now around 6,692,030,277. To find out when all of them have facebooks, I put that number into my equation.

(In millions) 6692.030277=1.252(1.1051^X)

5345.072106=1.1051^X

Log(5345.072106)=X Log(1.1051)

85.89=X

86-61=25

25 Months from now is May 2012. According to our model, the whole world will belong to the dominion of Facebook by then. Goodbye world!

Probability Day 3 - Permutations and Combinations

Probability Day 3 - Permutations and Combinations

View more presentations from Kate Nowak.

...And We're Walking!

John Peters and Ryan Donohue

y=.054447x -7.392687

A is miles per minute, yet it takes more than one minute to walk half a mile.

B is the distance that you go when you drive nowhere. (the graph is not perfect)

LOCATIONS Miles Hours

Ryans house 2.8 .83

School 3.3 .99

Library .7 .23

Church .1 .02

Wegmans 3.2 1.1

Papa Gallos 1.2 .45

Fox Rd 12 3.96

Erie Boulivard 6.4 2.18

------

Manhattan 222 74

Ithica 54.2 18

Inlet 92.4 30

Honeoye 87.5 29

Utica 30.8 13.5

Whiteface 192 62

Niagara Falls 166 54

Plattsburg 215 71

---------

Outer Banks Nc 636 209

Wickford Ri 290 96

Middletown De 284 95

Wakeforest Nc 581 192

Las Vegas Nv 2452 777

Fairbanks Ak 3998 1282

Florida 1410 462

Milwakee Wi 749 244

Facebook World Domination

John Peters and Ryan Donohue

L1 L2



12 1



24 5.5



36 12



40 20



46 50



56 100



61 150



62 175



64 200



67 250



69 300



72 350




















exponential regression equation: y=(.45)(1.o99^x)





x= the number of months


y= the millions of users












1. The amount of users on Facebook during this month would be 556 Million People.
1.252(1.1051^61) --> 1.252(444.115)= 556 (Million)

X=61, as it has been 61 months since December 2004.

2. Six months from now, will be November 2010, and 67 (61+6) months since Facebook's start.
1.252(1.1051^67) --> 1.252(808.9203) = 1,012,000000 People (around 1 Billion People will have Facebook pages.)

3. The UN states that the World's population is now around 6,692,030,277.
--- To find out when all of them have facebooks, plug that number into the equation.

(In millions) 6692.030277=1.252(1.1051^X)

5345.072106=1.1051^X

Log(5345.072106)=X Log(1.1051)

85.89=X

86-61=25

25 Months from now is May 2012.
The world will be Facebook's then.

Probability day 1

Probability day 1

View more presentations from Kate Nowak.

Tevy Nuon and Megan Cross... I Get a Shiver in My Bones

Regression Project

D). Scatter Plot for the average weather in: Syracuse, New York, Jefferson City, Missouri, Barcelona, Spain

SYRACUSE:
Equation: Sine Regression y= (a)(sin(bx+c)) +d
y=(12.78984)(sin(.5643x- 2.66123) + 60.4501
amplitude: 12.78984
wrap line: 60.4501
x= the month
y= the approximate temperature






JEFFERSON CITY, MISSOURI
Equation: Sine Regression y=(a)(sin(bx+c))+d
y= (25.2057)(sin(.48599x - 1. 87728) +51.69428
amplitude: 25.2057
wrap line: 51.69428
x= the month
y= the approximate temperature








BARCELONA, SPAIN
Equation: Sine Regression y= (a)(sin(bx+c))+d
y= (12.798)(sin(.56433x - 2.66124)) + 60.45
amplitude: 12.798
wrap line: 60.45
x=the month
y= the approximate temperature

• The wrap line represents the point in the graph where the y-intercept starts. It is also the line that cuts the graph in half horizontally. If the wrap line is greater than zero the whole graph shifts upwards based in the number given. If the wrap line is less than zero the whole graph shifts downwards based on the number given.

• The amplitude represents how high the graph goes representing the maximum and minimum points. In the situation it represents the highest and lowest average temperatures.

• The three locations seem to have similar temperature in each month. The highest value of Syracuse is in August at 70. For Jefferson City, Missouri, it is 77.4 in July. In addition, for Barcelona, Spain, it is 74. So Syracuse and Barcelona have their highest temperatures in August while Jefferson City has it is highest in July. Therefore, they all have their highest temperatures in the summer time. Syracuse’s lowest temperature is 24 in January. Jefferson City is 27.4 in January, and for Barcelona, its lowest temperature is 48 in January. They all have their lowest temperatures in January, though Spain’s is a lot more than Syracuse and Jefferson City’s temperatures. Another different thing is that Spain’s averages are higher than the others for winter, while Syracuse has the lowest. But for summer, Jefferson City has the highest averages. In addition, for spring, Barcelona has the highest averages while Syracuse has the lowest. Some of Barcelona’s averages are equal to Syracuse ‘s averages by a month later. For example, Syracuse is 70 in August when Barcelona is 70 in September, and it goes for September to October.

• My favorite temperature is early to mid 70’s. Warm, sunny, and breezy. Warm enough to wear shorts and sandals but cool enough to wear jeans, or denim jackets. I do not think 70 is hot I think its more mild to me. According to the data and graph, the best time to go Jefferson Missouri and Barcelona Spain would be from July to September. For Jefferson City, it would be from June to September.
  

Chris and Sherry Regressions

Chris Marchitelli and Sherry Pohar

Blink

Date	Transistor Count
1971	2300
1972	3500
1974	4500
1979	29000
1982	134000
1985	275000
1989	1180000
1993	3100000
1996	4300000
1997	7500000
1997	8800000
1999	9500000
1999	21300000
1999	2200000
2000	42000000
2008	47000000
2003	54300000
2003	105900000
2003	220000000
2006	241000000
2006	291000000
2007	463000000
2004	592000000
2008	731000000
2007	789000000
2009	904000000
2006	1700000000
2008	1900000000
2010	2000000000
2010	2300000000

Y=(3.8970)1.413^x

In the table, X represents the date and Y represents the transistor count. In the equation, both A and B together are the slope.

In 2029, the quad-core Itanium will be released with 2 billion transistors. We found our answer by solving the equation as a log and adding 58 to our starting year, 1971.

In 2036, the 8-core xeon, with 2.3 billion transistors, will be released. We found this answer by solving the equation as a log and adding 65 to our starting year, 1971.

This equation does not support Moore’s law initially because the number of transistors does not double every two years. However, the graph eventually shows Moore’s law after a set period of time.

Will The Ball Hit The Can?

Picture 1: Quad. Regression

Y= -.0067x^2+-.0449x+26.5714

Picture 2: Cubic Regression

Y= -2.3435x^3+-.0090x^2+.0100x+36.7063

Picture: 3 Quartic Regression

Y= -6.9578^4+-5.30804x^3+-.01907x^2+.0144x+75.3053

The X in the equation is the distance the tennis ball traveled and the Y is the height of the ball. A represents how wide or narrow the graph is, based lying in Quadrant II, B moves the graph left to right and C is where the graph crosses the y axis. Coordinates of the can were 58.3 for the x and 0 for the y.

None of the tennis balls will hit the trash can because none were thrown from ground level, which will skew the throw to be higher than required to hit the trash can, located roughly at 60.